AI for medicine is good, right? Brings better care to more people. Maybe, maybe not. Here’s my application of a new Thinkie: ergodicity. The Pattern 1000 people play Russian Roulette once. 167-ish die, 833-ish live. 1 person plays Russian Roulette 1000 times. They die. 100%. (Okay, 6.5880055e-80 chance of surviving. Not going to bank on that.)
This reminded me of Cynefin's dispositionality. When dealing with a complex domain, use safe-to-fail experiments to let resilience emerge. I wonder if this is the same approach to dealing with non-ergodic systems, or rather making a non-ergodic system fall under the complex domain.
Thank you Kent for the mention and the nice words about my book!
Thank *you* for the book!
Here is a long thread in HL7 community triggered by this post - https://chat.fhir.org/#narrow/stream/179160-social/topic/Ergodic.3A.20Good.20Thinkie.2C.20Awful.20Name.20by.20Kent.20Beck
How interesting to see how a different community uses my work differently.
This reminded me of Cynefin's dispositionality. When dealing with a complex domain, use safe-to-fail experiments to let resilience emerge. I wonder if this is the same approach to dealing with non-ergodic systems, or rather making a non-ergodic system fall under the complex domain.
The precautionary principle holds in survival (non-ergodic) systems. Try not to do anything that will endanger the continuation of the system.