Thinkie: Exponential Growth

How fast, not how big

Pattern: Is this small thing competition for this large thing?

Transformation: Compare growth rates, not absolute size. If the small thing is growing much faster then yes, take it seriously.

Early in COVID I used Thinkie Exponential Growth. People were saying, “Why all the shut downs? They’re saying 50,000 people might die. 50,000 people die in traffic ac…